Background: Research shows that marital plans influence marital behavior. However, romantic partners may differ in their marital plans, and these differences can affect relationship outcomes. Objective: The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between agreement in short-term marital plans and partnership transitions in German opposite-sex couples and to find whether there is a gender difference in the relationship between marital plans and the risk of marriage or dissolution. Methods: The couple-level data from the German Family Panel (pairfam) were analyzed with competing-risks regression. The sample consisted of 1,834 couples. Results: Marital plans were strongly associated with the subsequent transition to marriage; marital plans were not associated with dissolution when controlling for relationship and partner characteristics. The gender of the partner with marital plans was not associated with the probability of marriage or dissolution. Conclusions: Contrary to expectations, there were no gender differences in the relationship between marital plans and partnership transitions. Despite the important role of marriage in Germany, disagreements in marital plans did not increase the risk of dissolution. However, agreement in marital plans plays an important role in subsequent marriage. The transition to marriage is also strongly influenced by relationship characteristics and life course factors. Contribution: This research emphasizes the importance of using couple data in studying the marital intention–outcome link. Using recent data from a long panel study, the findings contrast with previous research on the gendered effect of marital plans in the United States.

中文翻译：

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德国异性伴侣之间的婚姻计划和伙伴关系转变：夫妻协议和性别差异（作者：Dominika Perdoch Sladká）

背景：研究表明婚姻计划会影响婚姻行为。然而，浪漫伴侣的婚姻计划可能有所不同，这些差异可能会影响关系的结果。目的：本研究的目的是调查德国异性伴侣短期婚姻计划协议与伴侣关系转变之间的关系，并探讨婚姻计划与结婚风险之间的关系是否存在性别差异。溶解。方法：采用竞争风险回归分析来自德国家庭小组 (pairfam) 的夫妻层面数据。样本由 1,834 对夫妇组成。结果：婚姻计划与随后的婚姻过渡密切相关；在控制关系和伴侣特征时，婚姻计划与解散无关。有婚姻计划的伴侣的性别与结婚或解散的可能性无关。结论：与预期相反，婚姻计划和伙伴关系转变之间的关系不存在性别差异。尽管婚姻在德国发挥着重要作用，但婚姻计划中的分歧并没有增加离婚的风险。然而，婚姻计划的一致在以后的婚姻中起着重要作用。向婚姻的过渡也受到关系特征和生命历程因素的强烈影响。贡献：这项研究强调了使用夫妻数据在研究婚姻意向与结果之间联系的重要性。利用一项长期小组研究的最新数据，研究结果与之前关于美国婚姻计划的性别影响的研究形成鲜明对比。