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Validating the White Flight Hypothesis: Neighborhood Racial Composition and Out-Migration in Two Longitudinal Surveys
Sociological Science ( IF 6.222 ) Pub Date : 2024-03-14


Peter Mateyka, Matthew Hall

Sociological Science March 14, 2024
10.15195/v11.a7

Abstract

Empirical research assessing the link between neighborhood racial composition and out-migration has largely relied on a single sample from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID). In this article, we validate these models by comparing estimates from the PSID to estimates from identical models based on internal Census data from the Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP). Doing so serves two purposes: (1) as a replication exercise for findings with major implications for racial/ethnic inequality and (2) as an expansion of the scope of ‘flight’ models to test mobility models among contemporary samples of white, black, Latino, and Asian households. Results from these models indicate that white households’ migration responses to minority racial concentrations are substantively similar in SIPP and PSID, with the likelihood of out-migration among whites increasing as minority shares grow, albeit weaker in SIPP than the PSID. Results for black householders are comparable across samples, with blacks demonstrating a tendency to leave Hispanic neighborhoods. Results for Hispanic households are, however, divergent between the SIPP and PSID, potentially reflecting differences in the representativeness of the samples. Lastly, the results from SIPP reveal that the mobility behaviors of Asian households are largely indifferent to neighborhood racial composition.


Abstract Citation



中文翻译:

验证白人逃亡假说:两次纵向调查中的邻里种族构成和外迁

彼得·马泰卡、马修·霍尔

社会学科学 2024年3月14日
10.15195/v11.a7

抽象的

评估社区种族构成与外流之间联系的实证研究在很大程度上依赖于收入动态小组研究 (PSID) 的单个样本。在本文中,我们通过将 PSID 的估计值与基于收入和计划参与调查 (SIPP) 的内部人口普查数据的相同模型的估计值进行比较来验证这些模型。这样做有两个目的:(1)作为对种族/族裔不平等具有重大影响的研究结果的复制练习;(2)作为“飞行”模型范围的扩展,以测试当代白人、黑人、拉丁裔和亚洲家庭。这些模型的结果表明,在 SIPP 和 PSID 中,白人家庭对少数族裔集中度的移民反应基本相似,随着少数族裔比例的增加,白人向外迁移的可能性也随之增加,尽管 SIPP 中的移民程度较 PSID 弱。不同样本中黑人户主的结果具有可比性,黑人表现出离开西班牙裔社区的倾向。然而,SIPP 和 PSID 之间西班牙裔家庭的结果存在差异,这可能反映了样本代表性的差异。最后,SIPP 的结果表明,亚洲家庭的流动行为很大程度上与社区种族构成无关。


摘要引文

更新日期:2024-03-15
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