Probability predictions are essential to inform decision making across many fields. Ideally, probability predictions are (i) well calibrated, (ii) accurate, and (iii) bold, i.e., spread out enough ...

中文翻译：

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二元事件预测的大胆度重新校准

概率预测对于许多领域的决策制定至关重要。理想情况下，概率预测是（i）经过良好校准，（ii）准确，以及（iii）大胆，即分布足够......