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Participatory Rebel Governance and Durability of Peace
International Studies Quarterly ( IF 2.799 ) Pub Date : 2024-04-17 , DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqae061
Hyunjung Park 1
Affiliation  

Rebel groups often develop governance during war by establishing administrative structures, engaging in taxation, and providing social services to the local population. Rebel governance structures, however, vary depending on the extent to which they include participatory arrangements. Some rebel groups allow civilian participation in their governance during the war, while others have highly hierarchical structures strictly limiting civilian participation. This paper examines whether and how the governance activities of rebel groups and participatory arrangements and institutions that they adopt during the war affect the durability of peace. I argue that participatory rebel governance can be particularly effective in establishing durable peace after the war. Civilian participation under rebel governance facilitates civilian political participation after conflict ends, which, in turn, discourages the use of political violence in response to grievances. Using rebel governance data between 1945 and 2012, I find strong empirical support for my argument. I then demonstrate the plausibility of the causal mechanism in the case of Indonesian and the Philippine civil wars. By establishing a strong positive empirical relationship between rebel wartime governance and the durability of peace, this paper identifies another important effect of rebel governance on conflict processes and outcomes in addition to its demonstrated effect on negotiations between warring parties and post-war democratization.

中文翻译:

参与性叛乱治理与和平的持久性

叛乱团体经常在战争期间通过建立行政结构、参与税收以及向当地居民提供社会服务来发展治理。然而,Rebel 治理结构根据参与安排的程度而有所不同。一些叛乱组织允许平民在战争期间参与其治理,而另一些则具有严格限制平民参与的高度等级结构。本文探讨了叛乱团体的治理活动以及他们在战争期间采取的参与性安排和机构是否以及如何影响和平的持久性。我认为,参与性叛乱治理对于战后建立持久和平特别有效。叛军治理下的平民参与有利于冲突结束后平民的政治参与,这反过来又会阻止使用政治暴力来应对不满。使用 1945 年至 2012 年期间的叛乱治理数据,我发现我的论点得到了强有力的实证支持。然后,我以印度尼西亚和菲律宾内战为例证明了因果机制的合理性。通过在叛乱战时治理与和平持久性之间建立强有力的正向实证关系,本文指出了叛乱治理除了对交战各方谈判和战后民主化产生的明显影响之外,对冲突进程和结果的另一个重要影响。
更新日期:2024-04-17
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